2012 PGA Championship at Kiawah and Stock Picking

After several hours watching the world’s best golfers at the Kiawah Island Ocean Course here in South Carolina, it again hit home how difficult it is to deliver consistent, top-level performance.  The professional golf scene this week at Kiawah is akin to investors selecting a portfolio of quality stocks that will deliver solid financial performance in the long run.  Sponsor advertising from corporate consulting firms, investment banks, and even luxury watchmakers, messages this theme to golf fans.  When VJ Singh, one of the leaders during the week, worked at the driving range, he used a shaft embedded in the ground to the side of his body.  The purpose of this tool is to check the plane of his swing and eliminate variation.  Use of such a tool is an attempt to develop swing consistency and rhythm.  Kiawah Island and the links-style Ocean Course is known for extreme weather conditions coming off the Atlantic.  Similarly, the equity markets are riddled with extreme conditions.  Investors should also use such tools to develop consistency in basic skills to master the science of stock selection.  Using a well-defined structure for the portfolio, combined with a consistent process for selection and for both buying and selling decisions (not to mention the timing,) will better position investors to minimize the variations that can lead to poor performance. 

The weather on Friday, which included howling winds, led to poor scores overall, but four players excelled and delivered under par numbers.  A few select investors have continued to deliver solid performance this year, even as the howling winds of the European debt contagion have swept over global equity markets (including the Pawleys Dividend Portfolio and the Pawleys Growth Portfolio, see the Q2 update for specifics).  Stay tuned for more tips and learn how to master the basics (the “science”) and eventually, with experience, hone your ability to use “art” to supercharge your results.  Golfers refer to this as “feel” or “touch” and it is what helps these professionals stay at the top of the leaderboard.  Enjoy the PGA 2012 Championship tournament and the hunt for the Wanamaker trophy!  The golfers all have diverse styles that they each own.  You can use a putter, a driver or a seven iron off the fringe of the green, and each can be used with success.  Think about how the tournament environment can help you hone your strategy and processes in managing your stock portfolio.  Stay tuned for more as I share the specifics of equity portfolio construction…and be sure to watch for the alligators snatching the ground television microphones off the tee boxes!

© 2012 Pawleys Investment Advisors, LLC.  All rights reserved.

Taking your Financial Inventory – The Personal P&L Statement and Balance Sheet

Two important documents, the Profit and Loss Statement and the Balance Sheet, are used to analyze and evaluate the financial condition of a company. The P&L Statement captures revenues and expenses over a period of time, while the Balance Sheet is a snapshot in time of assets and liabilities. These documents are effective tools to use when selecting stocks, but are invaluable if you apply them to your own personal finances. You can use a shoebox, a Hello Kitty Notebook, or the latest mobile App to assemble the information needed for these documents. You are only a true investor when you build or adopt processes in your own way. I think of the P&L as a running river, and the Balance Sheet as the reservoir where the assets collect over time for later use. The reservoir only fills when you have positive cash flow (you consistently spend less than you earn).

Down the road, you will have sufficient assets to generate the cash flow you will need during retirement to replace the earned income you no longer have. In other words, you will slowly release the assets from the reservoir to meet your cash flow needs. As you can see, both tools are important and interact with each other. You are better served by focusing on keeping a clean balance sheet than you are by worrying about what your credit score is, although the banks and lenders would have you think otherwise! A good rule of thumb is to only borrow money to buy assets that will appreciate in value, such as real property or business interests, and never borrow for depreciating items such as vehicles or other consumables. By living within your means and not using credit, you can slowly use positive cash flow to build a rock solid balance sheet.  Managing expenses can become even more important during the retirement years, so learning the skill early can be a significant advantage.

The Personal Profit and Loss Statement can be downloaded here:
https://pawleysblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/personal-balance-worksheet.pdf

If you review the income and expense categories, you should be able to assemble what your monthly budget looks like. For income and expenses that occur quarterly or even annually, you can add a pro-rated monthly amount or just track them separately.

Income
Wages, Salaries
Alimony
Investment Income
Rental Income
Business Income &   Royalties
Pension
Social Security
Other
Expenses
Home Mortgage or Rent
Insurance
Property Tax
Maintenance and POA Dues
Utilities Electric & Gas
Water & Sewer
Telephone
Food Groceries
Dining
Health Insurance
Fitness
Family Children, Parents
Pets
Transportation Auto, etc
Charitable Giving Donations, Tithing
Debt Loan Payments
Entertainment Cable & Computer
Hobbies & Travel
Clothing Apparel
Savings Retirement
College
Miscellaneous Household
Gifts

The Personal Balance Sheet can be downloaded here:
https://pawleysblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/personal-balance-worksheet.pdf

If you collect all of your current asset and loan statements, you should easily be able to complete a current balance sheet. Hopefully you have a heavy asset side and a light liability side, but if not, take heart, with incremental changes you can improve your future situation dramatically.

Assets
Cash Checking
Savings
Money Market
Certificates of Deposit
Investments Mutual Funds
Individual Securities
Private Placements
Company ESOP Shares
Vested Pension Assets
Other
Real Estate Primary Residence
Secondary Home
Investment Property
Business Interests Private Company   Ownership
Insurance Life Insurance Cash Values
Annuities
Personal Property Antiques/Collectibles
Automobiles
Miscellaneous
Other Receivable Loans
Liabilities
Mortgage Primary Residence
Second Home
Investment Property
Debt on Depreciating   Assets Auto Loans
Revolving Debt (Credit   Cards)
Other Personal Loans
Miscellaneous Student Loans
Business Loans

If you have amassed debt, line up the loans based on the interest rates, highest to lowest. Try to negotiate lower rates if possible or combine balances at the lowest possible rates. Implement a personal spending freeze except for absolute essentials (and redefine what really is essential). Funnel as much money towards the highest interest rate loan, and work from there to pay off everything as quickly as possible. If you have a setback and go on a frivolous spending spree, that is ok, pick yourself up, dust yourself off and start back at it. Even if you are in a situation where you have debt to pay off and little or no savings, I encourage everyone to start a Roth IRA and save at least $25/month. If you are fortunate to be offered a retirement plan at work, enroll and begin contributing there, especially if there is the possibility that your employer will provide a matching contribution.

Important Note Regarding Retirement Distribution:

Distribution planning can be stressful and even well-prepared and budget conscious retirees fear outliving their assets.  With pension and social security income streams essentially fixed, it can be difficult to keep up with inflation.  A detailed plan, including estimates for longevity based on family health history and projections for any potential large one-off expenses, can go a long way in helping retirees be better prepared.  Deferring distributions and allowing retirement assets to “percolate” during the first several years of retirement can create a powerful advantage down the road.  Some retirees are fortunate to have low expenses and no need to tap into assets while some can get by using just the income generated by their portfolios.  Income from different types of trusts may be sufficient for a lifetime while leaving assets to family members or favorite charitable organization.  Others will need to draw from principal, and at that point it becomes critical to pare out budget expenses into essential and discretionary items.  Consider keeping at least 12-36 months of expenses liquid so you are not forced to sell portfolio positions during downturns.  Some retirees find it helpful to create different baskets of funds designated for specific uses.  Tax planning is also an important consideration, so partner with your CPA and investment advisor to determine ordering of how you source funds from tax-deferred accounts including IRA’s and Roth IRA’s, and any old annuities you may hold.

With so many factors beyond the control of the individual investor, my philosophy is to guide people to focus on those areas that they can control, such as minimizing expenses, saving during younger years and avoiding debt throughout your lifetime. Do not always be a squirrel, however, because enjoying time with friends and family and exploring all this wonderful world has to offer is priceless. Strive for proper balance, and “invest right, live right!”

© 2011 Pawleys Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.

Tax Credit for New Pension Plans – IRS Form 8881

Small business owners who establish pension plans may be eligible to receive an IRS tax credit to offset expenses incurred in establishing the plan.  Pawleys Investment Advisors does not provide tax or legal advice, but over the years I have found that most business clients are unaware of this credit.  Eligible plans include SEP IRA’s, SIMPLE IRA’s and qualified plans including 401(k) plans, profit sharing plans, money-purchase plans and defined benefit plans.  The annual credit is 50% of the first $1,000 in expenses, so it is limited to $500, and is available for 3 years.  Qualified expenses include those incurred in establishing the plan, administrative fees, and costs to provide employee education.  Employers may choose to claim the credit or use it as a deductible business expense. This credit is in addition to any tax deduction you may receive for making company contributions for your employees.  The credit applies to companies with no more than 100 employees who have received at least $5,000 in compensation.  Companies that qualify that later grow beyond 100 employees who receive at least $5,000 in compensation may be grandfathered, depending on the current tax code.  The established plan must cover at least one non-highly compensated employee as defined by the IRS.  Additionally, control-group aggregation rules apply, so be sure to consult with your tax and legal advisors or Third Party Administrator.  If you established a plan, your advisor should have provided you with information regarding Form 8881 to discuss with your tax professional.  If you have not yet established a retirement plan for your business, please call Pawleys Investment Advisors.  You will be surprised about the relative ease and low cost of setting up a new plan.  It will help you better prepare for retirement and, if you have employees, help improve their satisfaction and better prepare them for retirement.

Click to access f8881.pdf

© 2012 Pawleys Investment Advisors, LLC.  All rights reserved.